FISHERS HAVE RISEN UP ONCE MORE WITH NEW VALUABLE INTERESTING FISHING DATA!
So up until now, and I’m kinda surprised no one has asked about this, nobody has mentioned anything at all about double and triple catches with the UD rod.
During the original study, if you read my method, my study never counted for double/triple catches. They were counted as 1 catch.
However, we fishers have developed a new methodology to provide more accurate Ugly Duck Rod statistics than ever before!
We have used a script to produce a dataset according to the following rules.
3 random numbers are generated between 100-500ticks (post-nerf rod), the highest of these is selected.
IF the second lowest value is within 20ticks of the lowest value, then both values are taken and added to the data set. 1+ is added to a new distinct category called Double Catches.
IF the second value is within 20ticks of the lowest value AND the highest value, all three numbers are taken and added to the dataset. 1+ is added to a new distinct category called Triple Catches.
This was repeated with a range of 100-400 for the pre-nerf rod.
This was used to generate a dataset of 5000 for each. This being a much larger sample size than 100 allows for the calculation of statistics to be more precise.
Each of the datasets were converted from Ticks into Seconds to agree with data published previously.
New Improved Results
Post Nerf Ugly Duckling Rod.
The mean average catch time for the Post Nerf Ugly Duckling Rod was 9.89seconds.
The modal value for the Post Nerf Ugly Duckling Rod was 5.3seconds
The amount of Double Catches for the Post Nerf Ugly Duckling Rod was 1332.
The amount of Triple Catches for the Post Nerf Ugly Duckling Rod was 369
The Skew of distribution for the Post Nerf Ugly Duckling Rod was 0.85 indicating a positive skew.
The Excess Kurtosis of the distribution for the Post Nerf Ugly Duckling Rod was 0.0269 indicating that the amount of seconds counted within the curve containing the peak, and the tails, is roughly the same. This means that outliers, or values that have a large difference from the mean, appear more frequently.
Pre-Nerf Ugly Duckling Rod
The mean average catch time for the Pre-Nerf Ugly Duckling Rod was 8.69 seconds.
The Modal Value for the Pre-Nerf Ugly Duckling Rod was 5.35 seconds.
The amount of Double Catches for the Pre-Nerf Ugly Duckling Rod was 1849
The amount of Triple Catches for the Pre-Nerf Ugly Duckling Rod was 717
The Skew of Distribution for the Pre-Nerf Ugly Duckling Rod was 0.89 indicating a positive skew.
The Excess Kurtosis of the distribution for the Pre-Nerf Ugly Duckling Rod was 0.145 this means that the amount of seconds counted in the peak and the tails is different. This means you will see less outliers and values that greatly differ from the mean are less common
Now there’s a few things to discuss here, and it makes things quite complicated, and calls into question the accuracy of the mean values obtained. This is because all single catches ran consecutively while all double catches and triple catches ran concurrently
This means a higher amount of double catches and triple catches adds up to less real time fishing
This is why the mean isn’t significant on it’s own. Taking into account double catches, the old UD rod wwas far better because more of your catches ran concurrently. So in order to truly understand how drastic the nerf was, we need to understand how the rate of double and triple catches has changed.
By dividing the amount of double catches for the post-nerf rod by the amount of double catches for the pre-nerf rod, it can be determined that you now get 28% less double catches. This means 28% less occasions in which 2 of your datapoints were running concurrently rather than consecutively
Doing the same for triple catches determines 49% less triple catches, and thus 49% less occasions in which 3 of you datapoints were running concurrently rather than consecutively
Conclusion: The mean alone cannot be used to determine the rate of catch because of double and triple catches running concurrently. This adds up to A LOT LESS REAL TIME for the Pre-Nerf Ugly Duckling Rod. Further investigation would need to be done to discover a truly accurate mean value taking into consideration doubles/triples. Perhaps replacing the higher within-range values for each double and triple with zero, in order to maintain sample size but account for their time running concurrently.
We’re not done yet here folks. The Nerf to the Rod was Neither 25%, nor 20%, nor 11%.
It is still yet to be determined. But we now understand how the rod works more than ever before!